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Jakub | Numbers not Narrative's avatar

Fair. I don't think the discount closes without capital allocation changing, and I said as much in the piece.

Two things stop me calling it a trap, though. The core is growing rather than melting: royalty revenue has compounded at 12% a year since 2020 and divisional operating profit at 15%. A value trap is usually something cheap that is quietly shrinking, and this isn't.

And a couple of Korean investors pointed out something I had missed. The company charges its affiliate 2% of gross profit for the brand, which works out at roughly 0.07% of that affiliate's revenue. SK and LG charge 0.2%, CJ 0.4%. Normalising just that one rate would put several billion won a year into a division that made ₩26bn.

Doesn't make the capital allocation good. Just means there's more than one way it improves.

Phoenixheart's avatar

Smells of value trap with that capital allocation

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