<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Numbers not Narrative]]></title><description><![CDATA[Digging into overlooked small and micro caps where the numbers tell a better story than the market does.]]></description><link>https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fbCc!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2d5a1a06-1873-4b61-b9a1-c929c3fc1e06_1024x1024.png</url><title>Numbers not Narrative</title><link>https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Wed, 15 Jul 2026 21:13:32 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Jakub]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[numbersnotnarrative@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[numbersnotnarrative@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Jakub]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Jakub]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[numbersnotnarrative@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[numbersnotnarrative@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Jakub]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[i-Scream Media: 93% of Korea’s Teachers, Four Times Earnings]]></title><description><![CDATA[A capital-light compounder hiding on the Korean micro-cap market &#8212; 31% margins, a return on capital most companies dream of, a near-10% dividend, and a balance sheet unlike any you&#8217;ve seen.]]></description><link>https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/i-scream-media-93-of-koreas-teachers</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/i-scream-media-93-of-koreas-teachers</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Jakub]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 13 Jul 2026 12:58:18 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Every so often you find a business that makes you re-check the numbers, because they look too good for where the stock is sitting. iScream Media is one of them.</p><p>Almost every primary-school teacher in South Korea opens its software on their screen every day. It sells textbooks that schools re-order year after year. It keeps 31 of every 100 won of sales as operating profit, has grown that profit by roughly a quarter a year for three years, earns triple-digit returns on the capital it actually uses &#8212; and pays a dividend yielding close to 10%. And you can buy the whole thing for about four times last year&#8217;s earnings.</p><p>Ticker 461300 in Seoul. At &#8361;15,860 the entire company is worth about &#8361;200bn &#8212; and it&#8217;s sitting on roughly &#8361;182bn of cash and securities, about <strong>91% of its own market value.</strong> Strip that out and the market is pricing the actual operating business, which earns &#8361;62bn of operating profit a year, at only around <strong>&#8361;8bn &#8212; a few million dollars.</strong> On paper, that&#8217;s not a valuation; it&#8217;s a rounding error. So the obvious question is: what&#8217;s wrong with it? The answer isn&#8217;t the business &#8212; it&#8217;s excellent. It&#8217;s what the owners do with the cash. Let&#8217;s take both apart.</p><h2>What the company actually does</h2><p>The heart of iScream Media is a piece of software called <strong>iScream S</strong> &#8212; the daily toolkit a Korean elementary teacher uses to run their classroom: lesson slides, worksheets, videos, quizzes, a library of more than 6.5 million teaching materials built over twenty years. Teachers pay nothing for it. That&#8217;s the clever bit: it isn&#8217;t where the money is, it&#8217;s the front door.</p><p>Because about <strong>93% of the country&#8217;s primary teachers</strong> already work inside this free tool every day, iScream has an enormous head start at the thing that <em>does</em> make money &#8212; <strong>textbooks.</strong> In 2022 it began publishing certified primary textbooks under Korea&#8217;s new curriculum and immediately won the highest adoption of the thirteen licensed publishers, around 40&#8211;58% on its maths, science and social-studies books.</p><p>Why is that such a good business? Four reasons, in plain terms:</p><ul><li><p><strong>The state pays, but teachers choose.</strong> Schools pick the publisher; the government funds it. iScream just has to win the teacher &#8212; and it already owns the teacher&#8217;s daily routine.</p></li><li><p><strong>It repeats.</strong> A new class of pupils arrives every year, so schools re-order the same textbooks annually. Not a one-off sale &#8212; a recurring, predictable stream.</p></li><li><p><strong>It&#8217;s sticky.</strong> Once a teacher has built a whole year around a textbook and its matching materials in iScream S, switching means relearning everything. Most don&#8217;t bother.</p></li><li><p><strong>It&#8217;s almost impossible to copy.</strong> A rival would have to rebuild twenty years and 6.5 million pieces of content &#8212; then prise teachers off a platform they already open daily.</p></li></ul><p>Put those together and you get a genuine <strong>moat</strong> &#8212; a durable edge a competitor can&#8217;t cheaply buy or copy. The loop <em>is</em> the moat: a free platform everyone uses, feeding a paid textbook business that recurs every year and is a pain to leave.</p><p>Two smaller businesses sit alongside. <strong>iScream Mall</strong>, an online shop for classroom supplies, owns 90%+ of education e-commerce and brings in about a quarter of revenue at healthy margins &#8212; though its profit has stopped growing. And <strong>teacher training</strong>, where iScream is the #1 private provider, is small (~6% of sales) and actually <em>loses</em> a little money right now as it expands into in-person courses. Neither moves the needle. The textbook engine is the story.</p><h2>The numbers are genuinely good</h2><p><em>Revenue and operating profit compounded at ~24% and ~26% a year &#8212; and margins rose while they did it.</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png" width="1456" height="834" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:834,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:95532,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://numbersnotnarrative.substack.com/i/206625773?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l57_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8122a2f-70e6-44f0-9ca8-7263bde80457_1650x945.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Revenue climbed from &#8361;104bn to &#8361;196bn over three years, about 24% a year; operating profit grew even faster, &#8361;31bn to &#8361;62bn. The tell of a quality business is right there: the <strong>operating margin went up</strong> as the company grew, from 29% to 31.5%. Once the content library exists, each extra textbook costs almost nothing to make, so profit outruns sales.</p><p>And there&#8217;s one number that really seals it: how much profit iScream squeezes out of the capital it uses. On the standard measure most stock screeners use &#8212; which counts the giant cash pile as &#8220;capital&#8221; &#8212; its return on capital is around 30%, already excellent. But that understates it badly. The operating business barely needs any capital to run, so the return on the money genuinely tied up in it is far higher &#8212; well over 50%, and north of 100% on a strict reading. In plain English: it makes a lot of money from very little. That is the single clearest fingerprint of a high-quality business &#8212; and it&#8217;s exactly what you&#8217;re not being asked to pay for.</p><p>(One caveat: reported <em>net</em> profit is bumpier than operating profit, because the company runs an investment portfolio whose swings flow straight through the bottom line. For the clean read on the business, watch operating profit.)</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Numbers not Narrative! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><h2>It quietly became a textbook company</h2><p><em>Publishing went from half the business to two-thirds &#8212; and is now essentially all of the growth.</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n7J0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n7J0!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n7J0!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n7J0!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n7J0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n7J0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png" width="1456" height="834" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:834,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:90288,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://numbersnotnarrative.substack.com/i/206625773?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n7J0!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n7J0!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n7J0!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n7J0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb63307cd-0880-438c-a225-8dcb1af9d7c9_1650x945.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Three years ago revenue was split fairly evenly between textbooks and the shop. Today <strong>publishing is two-thirds of the company</strong> and effectively all of the growth: more grades covered each year (3&#8211;6 now complete), rising adoption, and a textbook price that&#8217;s climbed from &#8361;8,755 in 2021 to &#8361;11,287 in 2025.</p><p>The upside is that publishing is the highest-margin, stickiest, best-protected leg. The trade-off is that iScream now leans on a <strong>regulated, government-funded</strong> revenue stream &#8212; so education policy can move the numbers, for better or worse.</p><h2>Why you can&#8217;t judge this on one quarter</h2><p><em>Textbooks ship only in Q2 and Q4, so Q1 and Q3 look tiny &#8212; and Q1 is a planned seasonal loss every year.</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9eIS!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe102628-0466-4004-bceb-8c0c3d39143c_1650x945.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9eIS!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe102628-0466-4004-bceb-8c0c3d39143c_1650x945.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9eIS!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe102628-0466-4004-bceb-8c0c3d39143c_1650x945.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9eIS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe102628-0466-4004-bceb-8c0c3d39143c_1650x945.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9eIS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe102628-0466-4004-bceb-8c0c3d39143c_1650x945.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9eIS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe102628-0466-4004-bceb-8c0c3d39143c_1650x945.png" width="1456" height="834" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9eIS!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe102628-0466-4004-bceb-8c0c3d39143c_1650x945.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9eIS!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe102628-0466-4004-bceb-8c0c3d39143c_1650x945.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9eIS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe102628-0466-4004-bceb-8c0c3d39143c_1650x945.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9eIS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe102628-0466-4004-bceb-8c0c3d39143c_1650x945.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Look only at iScream&#8217;s first quarter and you&#8217;d think it was tiny or collapsing. It&#8217;s neither &#8212; it&#8217;s the calendar. Textbooks are delivered in just two quarters, Q2 and Q4, so Q1 and Q3 are small by design and the company runs a <strong>seasonal loss in Q1 every year.</strong> Normal, not a warning.</p><p>Q4 2025 alone did &#8361;102bn &#8212; over half the year. The latest quarter, Q1 2026, came in at &#8361;15.3bn, up ~15% on the year before, with the seasonal loss slightly <em>smaller</em> than a year earlier. Judge this company on full years, never on one quarter.</p><h2>It turns profit into cash &#8212; with one lumpy year</h2><p><em>Free cash flow hit &#8361;48bn (about 25% of sales) in FY2025; the 2024 dip was a one-off content build.</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!77oU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!77oU!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!77oU!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!77oU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!77oU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!77oU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png" width="1456" height="834" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:834,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:100242,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://numbersnotnarrative.substack.com/i/206625773?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!77oU!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!77oU!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!77oU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!77oU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F04843e8d-dc34-45b7-929a-e745515d56a5_1650x945.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>Free cash flow</strong> &#8212; the cash left after running and investing in the business &#8212; was &#8361;48bn in FY2025, about 25% of sales. That&#8217;s strong. The dip in 2024 wasn&#8217;t a problem; it was a deliberate &#8361;22bn+ splurge on building an AI textbook product. Once that normalised, cash flow snapped back. iScream&#8217;s &#8220;capex&#8221; is really <em>content</em> spending, and it comes in lumps: a heavy build year flatters nothing, a normal year converts beautifully. FY2025 was normal.</p><h2>The elephant on the balance sheet</h2><p><em>IPO cash was rotated into a securities portfolio worth &#8361;94bn &#8212; nearly as large as the entire operating business.</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bGMY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bGMY!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bGMY!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bGMY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bGMY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bGMY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png" width="1456" height="860" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:860,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:96393,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://numbersnotnarrative.substack.com/i/206625773?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bGMY!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bGMY!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bGMY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bGMY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F728a5941-afe3-4850-8c91-2100654378c8_1650x975.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Now the part that complicates an otherwise easy story. The balance sheet is rock-solid &#8212; but look at <em>what&#8217;s on it.</em> iScream holds about <strong>&#8361;88bn of cash and &#8361;94bn of securities</strong> &#8212; together &#8361;182bn, roughly <strong>91% of the whole &#8361;200bn company.</strong> The operating business that throws off all those lovely margins is a small slice of the assets; the rest is a war chest.</p><p>The trouble is that it isn&#8217;t clear that pile is really yours. It&#8217;s new, and it&#8217;s growing fast: the company raised money in its August 2024 listing and, instead of returning it or reinvesting it, poured it into an investment portfolio that has swelled from &#8361;33bn to &#8361;94bn in eighteen months. And some of those holdings are venture funds tied to the founding family &#8212; so a big slice of &#8220;your&#8221; cash is being run as an in-house fund, partly into related parties.</p><blockquote><p><strong>A note for the screener crowd.</strong> A typical data screener will show &#8220;cash &amp; short-term investments&#8221; of about &#8361;111bn, not the &#8361;182bn here. The gap is that most of the securities (~&#8361;70bn+) sit in <em>long-term</em> investments, which screens don&#8217;t count as cash. Read the actual filing and the pile &#8212; and the question hanging over it &#8212; is bigger than the screen lets on.</p></blockquote><h2>What happens next &#8212; a bigger runway than it looks</h2><p>Here&#8217;s the pushback you&#8217;ll hear: Korea is running out of children. It&#8217;s true. The total school-age population is about 5.07 million today and is set to fall to roughly 4.25 million by 2029 &#8212; a ~3% annual decline &#8212; and the incoming first-grade cohort dropped below 300,000 for the first time in 2026. Fewer pupils eventually means fewer elementary textbooks.</p><p>But that misses how much room iScream still has to grow. It has grown straight <em>through</em> the demographic decline &#8212; publishing revenue rose 45% last year while pupil numbers fell &#8212; on three engines: it keeps <strong>winning share</strong> (40&#8211;58% adoption and climbing), it keeps <strong>raising prices</strong> (the per-book price is up ~29% in four years), and Korean families keep spending <em>more per child</em> (national private-education spend hit a record &#8361;29tn in 2024, up four years running).</p><p>And the bigger point: iScream is only just leaving its home turf. Management plans to take the publishing muscle it built in primary school and move, step by step, into the <strong>middle-school textbook market</strong> &#8212; a whole new set of grades and subjects to win. It&#8217;s pushing teacher training into secondary schools (where each teacher covers a single subject, so appetite for content is higher) and into the early-childhood and daycare market, and it&#8217;s taking its AI teaching tools abroad &#8212; to Vietnam, India and Japan. None of that is proven yet. But it means the addressable market is getting <em>bigger</em>, not smaller &#8212; and at this price you&#8217;re paying for none of it.</p><h2>The catch &#8212; and why it&#8217;s shrinking</h2><p>So why does a business this good trade this cheap? Two reasons, and both are real.</p><p><strong>Control.</strong> The founding Park family owns roughly 61% of the company through its parent, SigongTech. That makes bankruptcy unthinkable &#8212; but it also means no outside investor can force that &#8361;180bn back to shareholders. Cash comes back only when the family chooses to send it.</p><p><strong>Policy.</strong> iScream&#8217;s revenue rides on government decisions. The clearest reminder came in August 2025, when the government demoted the AI textbook iScream had spent heavily on from an official &#8220;textbook&#8221; to mere &#8220;educational material&#8221; &#8212; erasing the upside it had invested behind and forcing about &#8361;13bn of write-offs. When the state changes its mind, this business feels it.</p><p>But the catch is being actively chipped away. Under Korea&#8217;s national <strong>&#8220;Value-Up&#8221; programme</strong>, iScream now commits to paying out 40% of profit as dividends. The dividend more than doubled last year, to &#8361;1,554 a share &#8212; a yield of nearly <strong>10%</strong> &#8212; and it uses only about <strong>40% of free cash flow</strong>, so it&#8217;s well covered with room to grow. Add buybacks and total cash returned already tops <strong>10% of the market value</strong> a year. The cash has started moving toward shareholders. The only question is how far it goes.</p><h2>Putting a price on it</h2><ul><li><p><strong>Price:</strong> &#8361;15,860</p></li><li><p><strong>Market value (ex-treasury):</strong> ~&#8361;200bn (~$150m)</p></li><li><p><strong>Price-to-earnings (FY2025):</strong> ~4.1&#215;</p></li><li><p><strong>Price-to-book:</strong> ~1.0&#215;</p></li><li><p><strong>Return on capital (reported / operating):</strong> ~30% / &gt;50%</p></li><li><p><strong>Dividend yield:</strong> ~9.8%</p></li><li><p><strong>Total shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks):</strong> &gt;10%</p></li><li><p><strong>Enterprise value:</strong> ~&#8361;8bn &#8212; a few $m</p></li><li><p><strong>FY2025 revenue growth:</strong> +29%</p></li><li><p><strong>Operating margin:</strong> 31.5%</p></li><li><p><strong>Free cash flow / sales:</strong> ~25%</p></li><li><p><strong>Cash + securities:</strong> ~&#8361;182bn (&#8776;91% of market value)</p></li><li><p><strong>Founding family control:</strong> ~61%</p></li></ul><p>For the record, 13,302,433 shares are in issue, of which <strong>598,969 sit in treasury</strong> (pledged against a convertible bond), so the free-float market value is about &#8361;200bn.</p><p>The summary is almost too simple: four times earnings for a business growing ~25% a year at 31% margins, with a near-10% dividend while you wait &#8212; and the &#8361;62bn-a-year operating company effectively thrown in for an enterprise value of barely &#8361;8bn. Numbers like that usually mean a business is dying. This one is thriving.</p><h2>The verdict</h2><p>iScream Media is two things at once. Underneath is a wonderful business &#8212; capital-light, high-return, sticky, growing, cash-generative, and rarely this cheap. Around it is the reason it stays cheap: an owner who controls the company outright, a revenue base exposed to the government&#8217;s pen, and a demographic tide that will eventually turn.</p><p>So the cheapness isn&#8217;t a mistake &#8212; it&#8217;s the price of the catch. Whether it&#8217;s a genuine bargain turns on one question: <strong>does the cash ever really reach outside shareholders?</strong> The Value-Up dividend already says &#8220;some, yes,&#8221; and broader Korean governance reform is a slow but real tailwind. If the cash starts flowing, the re-rating could be violent. If it doesn&#8217;t, you&#8217;re still collecting a near-10% yield on an excellent business you don&#8217;t quite control &#8212; far from the worst place to sit.</p><p>Numbers, not narrative: the business is as good as the headline figures suggest, and the stock is as cheap as it looks. The only real question is who the cash belongs to.</p><div><hr></div><p><em>Not investment advice. The author may hold positions in the securities mentioned. Figures are from iScream Media&#8217;s DART filings (FY2022&#8211;Q1 2026), Statistics Korea and Ministry of Education data, and market prices as of 11 July 2026.</em></p><div class="captioned-button-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/i-scream-media-93-of-koreas-teachers?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;}" data-component-name="CaptionedButtonToDOM"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Numbers not Narrative! This post is public so feel free to share it.</p></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/i-scream-media-93-of-koreas-teachers?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/i-scream-media-93-of-koreas-teachers?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Dongsung FineTec (033500): the market is pricing peak. The order book says otherwise.]]></title><description><![CDATA[A ~&#8361;550bn cryogenic-insulation maker trading at under 9&#215; earnings, with a 25% ROE, net cash, and three years of revenue already signed. The bears have a real point &#8212; it&#8217;s just not the point the share]]></description><link>https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/dongsung-finetec-033500-the-market</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/dongsung-finetec-033500-the-market</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Jakub]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2026 10:29:41 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Value investors are trained to flinch at one setup in particular: the cyclical at the top of its cycle, throwing off record profits, wearing a single-digit P/E like a trap. Buy peak earnings at a multiple that only looks cheap until the denominator caves, and you lose money slowly. Dongsung FineTec looks like that company &#8212; and the stock, down ~46% from its &#8361;34,300 high to &#8361;18,460, is being priced like it.</p><p>I think the market has the right instinct and the wrong object. The cyclicality is real. But the thing that usually makes a peak-cycle short dangerous is sitting in the filings in plain sight: <strong>&#8361;2.08 trillion of order backlog</strong>, nearly three times last year&#8217;s revenue, for a product installed on a construction schedule the company neither controls nor can accelerate. You aren&#8217;t guessing at the next three years of revenue. You&#8217;re reading them off signed contracts.</p><p>Here&#8217;s the case from the numbers &#8212; then the reasons it might be wrong, because the red flags are not decorative.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Numbers not Narrative! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><h2>The franchise: a toll booth at &#8722;163&#176;C</h2><p>Dongsung makes the insulation that holds liquefied natural gas at minus 163 degrees inside the cargo holds of LNG carriers. That&#8217;s the franchise. About 96% of revenue is one thing &#8212; polyurethane cryogenic insulation (reinforced foam, panels, membrane sheet) sold to shipyards. A small refrigerant-trading arm is the other 4%: a rounding error with some optionality bolted on.</p><p>This isn&#8217;t a commodity. The membrane containment systems (GTT&#8217;s Mark-III and NO96) are safety-critical on a thirty-year ship carrying a cryogenic, flammable cargo, so a supplier has to be qualified by the licensor <em>and</em> the yard &#8212; and nobody re-qualifies a vendor mid-programme to save a few percent. In Korea that&#8217;s produced a clean duopoly: Dongsung and Hankuk Carbon, with total global cold-insulation capacity under ~90 ships a year. Dongsung localised the technology first and runs ~34 ships of capacity, at roughly &#8361;25bn of content per large carrier.</p><p>So, plainly: Dongsung is a <strong>toll booth on the LNG construction bridge</strong>. Real barriers &#8212; qualification, switching costs, safety lock-in. No pricing power over its customers (three Korean shipbuilders that <em>are</em> its order book) or over GTT (which keeps the IP rent). Good economics while traffic is heavy; no leverage over whoever sets the toll. That tension is the entire bull-and-bear axis.</p><h2>The operating leverage isn&#8217;t subtle</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7LKL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7LKL!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7LKL!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7LKL!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7LKL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7LKL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png" width="1456" height="849" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:849,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:161694,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://numbersnotnarrative.substack.com/i/203068981?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7LKL!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7LKL!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7LKL!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7LKL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0ebe607e-f301-4e1e-8649-77051eaaf899_1920x1120.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Three years ago this was a low-margin parts maker: &#8361;434bn of revenue, &#8361;8bn of profit. FY2025 closed at <strong>&#8361;742bn of revenue (+24%), &#8361;72.7bn of operating profit, and &#8361;56.2bn of net income (+43%)</strong> &#8212; roughly a 7&#215; jump in earnings on a 1.7&#215; rise in revenue, operating margin up from 3.5% to 9.8%, ROE through 25%. The latest quarter shows where that leverage comes from, in concentrated form.</p><h2>Q1 2026: a price story in a volume costume</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d35I!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d35I!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d35I!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d35I!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d35I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d35I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png" width="1456" height="849" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:849,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:121216,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://numbersnotnarrative.substack.com/i/203068981?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d35I!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d35I!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d35I!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!d35I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6cd4bdec-efe4-49e3-bd75-2342b5027e61_1920x1120.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Q1 revenue was &#8361;169bn &#8212; <em>down</em> 1.9% year on year. Yet gross margin went from 13.9% to <strong>18.8%</strong>, operating profit rose 58%, and net profit rose <strong>90%</strong> to &#8361;17.1bn. You don&#8217;t get that from working harder. You get it because what you sell is worth more and what you buy to make it costs less.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6AJl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6AJl!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6AJl!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6AJl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6AJl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6AJl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png" width="1456" height="849" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:849,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:148274,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://numbersnotnarrative.substack.com/i/203068981?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6AJl!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6AJl!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6AJl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6AJl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F27a0f617-6b33-4b3c-8624-4d1bfdc3268c_1920x1120.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The filing&#8217;s price tables draw it cleanly. The average selling price of cryogenic insulation &#8212; quoted per cubic metre of carrier &#8212; went from &#8361;941,000 (FY2024) to &#8361;1,008,000 (FY2025) to &#8361;1,248,000 in Q1, up a third in fifteen months. Over the same window the per-kilo cost of membrane raw material <em>fell</em>, from &#8361;2,524 to &#8361;2,382. Prices up, costs down.</p><p>Two mechanics underneath, and they decide how durable this is. First, <strong>the revenue lag is a feature</strong>: insulation is fitted late in the build, so Dongsung books revenue three to four quarters <em>after</em> a yard cuts steel. The ships being insulated now were ordered in 2023&#8211;24, at higher prices than the 2021&#8211;22 vintage that once depressed margins &#8212; so the richest contracts are still flowing through, and management can see its own average selling price two years out. Second, <strong>the cost tailwind is luck, and should be treated as luck</strong>: ~60% of cost is raw material, mostly MDI and steel membrane; MDI sits near $2.1/kg versus the $4&#8211;6 of the Russia&#8211;Ukraine spike, helped by a weak won on dollar-priced sales. Both mean-revert. Underwrite ~9&#8211;10% normalised operating margins, not Q1&#8217;s 11.7%.</p><h2>What&#8217;s already locked in</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CNhS!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CNhS!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CNhS!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CNhS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CNhS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CNhS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png" width="1456" height="667" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:667,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:109063,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://numbersnotnarrative.substack.com/i/203068981?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CNhS!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CNhS!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CNhS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CNhS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e8766c7-3ec4-4ab2-ba7c-f07bc3e5cece_1920x880.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>This is where Dongsung stops behaving like a normal cyclical. At 31 March the cryogenic-insulation backlog stood at <strong>&#8361;2,076bn</strong> &#8212; about 2.8&#215; FY2025 revenue, three years of contracted work for HD Hyundai, Samsung Heavy, and Hanwha Ocean. The balance sheet agrees: inventory built to &#8361;178bn, and &#8361;112bn of customer advances sit in current liabilities against that book.</p><p>And the macro filling it from here isn&#8217;t a hope. The global LNG-carrier orderbook is at a record ~400+ ships, near half the fleet; Korean yards hold 70&#8211;75%, and deliveries peak in 2026&#8211;2028 &#8212; exactly Dongsung&#8217;s window, because it gets paid when ships are <em>built</em>, not ordered. New ordering did pause in 2025 (~16 carriers in eleven months) &#8212; the cliff the bears point at &#8212; but a record ~84 MTPA of US LNG capacity passed final investment decision in 2025, Qatar&#8217;s fleet renewal is live, and brokers model ~100&#8211;115 fresh orders in 2026 as 2028&#8211;29 slots open. Those refill the years <em>after</em> the current backlog.</p><h2>The valuation: earnings up, multiple down</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png" width="1456" height="849" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:849,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:145337,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://numbersnotnarrative.substack.com/i/203068981?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!m0j_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd9c79d3c-bab6-4a0d-905b-0bda5e805c4e_1920x1120.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>At &#8361;18,460, the market cap is ~&#8361;554bn on 30.0m shares. Against that:</p><ul><li><p><strong>~8.6&#215; trailing earnings</strong>, on ~&#8361;2,140 of last-twelve-month EPS (about 10&#215; on FY2025&#8217;s reported &#8361;1,879).</p></li><li><p><strong>P/B ~2.1&#215;</strong> on a 25% ROE &#8212; a touch over two times book for a business earning a quarter on it.</p></li><li><p><strong>Net cash ~&#8361;90bn</strong> &#8212; ~&#8361;79bn cash plus ~&#8361;11bn of short-term instruments against <em>zero</em> bank debt (the &#8361;7bn of short-term borrowings was repaid in the quarter). Strip it out and EV is ~&#8361;460bn, putting <strong>EV/EBIT near 6&#215;</strong>.</p></li><li><p>A ~1.8% dividend on a modest ~25% payout &#8212; room to grow, not a thesis.</p></li></ul><p>Now set that against the company&#8217;s own history: 12&#8211;13&#215; through 2023&#8211;24, north of 18&#215; at the last peak, a trough-cycle average around 16&#8211;17&#215;. It trades <em>below its own cyclical floor</em> while earnings still rise and three years of revenue are contracted. The de-rating has run ahead of any deterioration in the actual numbers. That gap is the opportunity.</p><h2>Now the part that could cost you money</h2><p>A cheap multiple on a peak cyclical is a trap until proven otherwise. The bear case, as strongly as I can put it:</p><p><strong>One product, one cycle.</strong> ~96% of revenue is LNG-carrier insulation; there&#8217;s no second leg. The backlog that looks like a fortress empties on a schedule, and the real question isn&#8217;t 2026&#8211;28 earnings (largely locked) but normalised earnings power <em>after</em> it delivers &#8212; which depends on the 2026&#8211;27 ordering wave actually arriving.</p><p><strong>Price-taker to three customers.</strong> HD Hyundai, Samsung Heavy, and Hanwha Ocean <em>are</em> the order book, they dwarf Dongsung, and they granted no price increases in 2021&#8211;22. Today&#8217;s pricing is a tight market, not structural leverage.</p><p><strong>GTT keeps the crown jewels.</strong> Dongsung is a qualified manufacturer, not the IP owner &#8212; which caps how much of the chain it can ever capture.</p><p><strong>China is the long shadow.</strong> Chinese yards are taking LNG share and don&#8217;t buy Korean insulation; Korea&#8217;s 2025 share recovery owed more to US port-fee actions stalling Chinese orders than to any moat of Dongsung&#8217;s.</p><p><strong>The balance sheet flatters both ways.</strong> That &#8361;90bn of net cash is partly the flip side of &#8361;112bn in customer advances; as the book delivers and isn&#8217;t fully replaced, advances unwind and the cash normalises down. And the parent, Dongsung Chemical, owns ~39% &#8212; capital allocation will be made with its interests in view.</p><p>The optionality on the other side &#8212; DNV approval-in-principle for ammonia-fuelled tanks, liquid-hydrogen storage patents, refrigerant recycling into Korea&#8217;s 2027 mandate, a possible Alaska LNG tailwind &#8212; is real and free in the price, but immaterial today. Buy this for the LNG cycle and the balance sheet; treat the rest as a call option you didn&#8217;t pay for.</p><h2>The verdict</h2><p>Strip it to the frame. A niche manufacturer with a narrow-but-real moat, 25% ROE, no net debt, and three years of contracted revenue &#8212; at under 9&#215; earnings, below its own cyclical-trough multiple, because the market has decided the cycle is over. The bears say it <em>is</em> over and you&#8217;re buying flattered, single-product earnings from a price-taker. The bulls say the 2026&#8211;28 delivery peak and the next ordering wave stretch the runway far enough that today&#8217;s multiple re-rates as visibility proves out.</p><p>Both can be true in sequence &#8212; a couple of very good, largely banked years, then a genuine question mark. That makes Dongsung less a forever-holding than a <strong>mispriced cyclical with an unusually long fuse</strong>: the rare case where the order book lets you price the next three years instead of guessing them. Size it as a cyclical, demand your margin of safety against normalised &#8212; not peak &#8212; earnings, and decide now what you&#8217;ll do when the backlog stops growing. Because the day that headline first prints lower, the multiple will move long before the revenue does.</p><p>Numbers, not narrative. The numbers are good. The narrative &#8212; peak, over, done &#8212; is what the price is selling you. Whether it&#8217;s right is the only question that matters, and the backlog buys you three years to answer it.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Numbers not Narrative! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><p><em>Analysis for discussion, not investment advice &#8212; I&#8217;m not your financial adviser, and every figure here should be checked against the primary DART filings before you act. Do your own work.</em></p><p><em>Figures from Dongsung FineTec&#8217;s FY2025 audited statements (DART, 19 Mar 2026) and Q1 2026 report (DART, 14 May 2026); market data as of mid-June 2026.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Greens Co.: the quiet hotel chain riding Japan’s inbound boom]]></title><description><![CDATA[Operating profit is up a third. Reported net income is down. Here's the optical illusion &#8212; and the business underneath it.]]></description><link>https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/greens-co-the-quiet-hotel-chain-riding</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/greens-co-the-quiet-hotel-chain-riding</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Jakub]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 19:51:19 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!agye!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8c92c224-d347-49e2-90af-2a8ed6769487_1779x980.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Greens Co. (TSE &amp; Nagoya: <strong>6547</strong>) is the kind of company that never makes headlines. A family-run hotel operator from Yokkaichi &#8212; central Japan&#8217;s unglamorous industrial coast, not Tokyo or Osaka &#8212; running mid-market hotels near train stations. And yet, nine months into its current fiscal year, it has quietly put together one of the strongest stretches in &#8230;</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[A Scandinavian Compounder Wearing an MLM Costume]]></title><description><![CDATA[The market prices Zinzino as a network-marketing fad about to roll over. The financials describe a debt-free, ~48%-ROIC business compounding operating profit at roughly 45% a year &#8212; trading at about 1]]></description><link>https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/zinzino-a-scandinavian-compounder</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/zinzino-a-scandinavian-compounder</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Jakub]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 14:59:08 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z9UA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1eec934-95fa-4b9b-8b95-14443e38b433_1000x1000.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Most serious investors scroll right past this one. It&#8217;s a direct seller &#8212; multi-level marketing, network sales, pick whichever label trips your gag reflex &#8212; that ships fish oil and personalized supplements through an army of independent distributors. The three letters &#8220;MLM&#8221; do an enormous amount of work scaring capital away.</p><p>That reflex is the whole oppo&#8230;</p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The quiet Korean software company that runs the world's container ports]]></title><description><![CDATA[Total Soft Bank (KOSDAQ: 045340) just reported one of its strongest quarters ever &#8212; and it's still flying under most investors' radar.]]></description><link>https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/the-quiet-korean-software-company</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.numbersnotnarrative.com/p/the-quiet-korean-software-company</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Jakub]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 14:11:44 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!RiT6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F382baaf6-bd22-4858-b495-411b04077209_1800x1060.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you&#8217;ve ever watched a giant container ship get unloaded &#8212; those towering cranes plucking forty-ton boxes off the deck like Lego bricks &#8212; there&#8217;s a decent chance the software choreographing that ballet was written in Busan, South Korea.</p><p>The company behind it is <strong>Total Soft Bank</strong>, or TSB, and despite the name it has nothing to do with the Japanese telecom&#8230;</p>
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